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NCAA tournament: The most likely upsets for the first round

NCAA tournament: The most likely upsets for the first round

Picking favorites in the NCAA tournament is the smart play, but it's the upsets and Cinderella teams that make it memorable ... and help you get the edge you need to win your bracket pool.

As we decipher which upset picks look like the smartest plays in Round 1, we are going to focus on the true underdogs — a No. 9 seed beating the No. 8 seed in the first round is technically an upset, but those winners at least three seeds below the favorite they are facing is where the true value lies.

One upset we won't be picking is a No. 16 seed over a No. 1 seed. Since 1985, when the tournament expanded to 64 teams, the top four teams are 128-0 in the first round. It is tempting to knock...

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